As international tensions increase, trade analysis is essential for strategic decision-making. Export data analysis will provide you with key insights into domestic and international markets.
Consumption evident
Import export data analysis can be used to determine the local demand for certain products or services if there is not a production estimate. This is known as apparent consumption. This could include both production as well as exports.
This analysis may be affected if you don't report data from trade or government sources on domestic production. This analysis can be used to estimate the country's need for a product.
Supply Chain insights
Many times, inputs from other countries are used to create the final product. The import export data analysis can be used to identify bulk material suppliers, and analyze the flow between the countries.
Data sources that include both volume and value exports can help determine the general export prices for different countries. The US International Trade Commission reported that 48 million kilograms of soybean seed (or $28million) were exported from the United States to Canada in 2017. These metrics can be used for estimating a soybean export price of $0.60/kg. These are estimates for the entire HS Code. Estimates can be affected by trade flow reporting errors. These measures should be known by all users.
For example, trade analysis can be used to determine the origins and prices for materials from different countries. It is possible to establish if there is any correlation between raw materials imported into a country, and the exports of finished goods and intermediate parts from that country. This can help to plan future purchases of raw materials and intermediate materials.
Trends over time
Exports to the area could decline if production capacity is reduced. Exports to many industries that rely on components from all over the globe could drop if production capacity is decreased.
For analyzing the effects of trade policies on regional and global flows of goods, import export data can be a valuable resource. Trade data is a great resource for comparing production inputs between industries during times of increased trade tensions.
Caveats
There are many things to keep in mind when analysing and interpreting trade data database reports. Although multiple products may be involved, all shipments can be tracked using the same HS code. Trade could be undervalued if additional goods are included. These additional goods do not count in trade flows. This could result in trade being either undervalued, or between countries. There are many ways you can find discrepancies.
Compare production and export data to identify under-estimated flows.
Primary research was conducted with market participants to establish an average trade share for manufactured goods.
To approximate the export price, use volume and value estimations. Compare the estimated or average price of goods.
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